题目：Unwilling or Unable to Cheat? Evidence from a Tax Audit Experiment in Denmark
作者：Henrik J. Kleven, Martin B. Knudsen, Claus T. Kreiner, Søren Pedersen and Emmanuel Saez
文献出处：Econometrica, 79(3), 2011: 651 - 692.
内容摘要：This paper analyzes a tax enforcement field experiment in Denmark. In the base year, a stratified and representative sample of over 40,000 individual income tax filers was selected for the experiment. Half of the tax filers were randomly selected to bethoroughly audited, while the rest were deliberately not audited. The following year,threat-of-audit letters were randomly assigned and sent to tax filers in both groups. We present three main empirical findings. First, using baseline audit data, we find that the tax evasion rate is close to zero for income subject to third-party reporting, but substantial for self-reported income. Since most income is subject to third-party reporting, the overall evasion rate is modest. Second, using quasi-experimental variation created by large kinks in the income tax schedule, we find that marginal tax rates have a positive impact on tax evasion for self-reported income, but that this effect is small in comparison to legal avoidance and behavioral responses. Third, using the randomization of enforcement, we find that prior audits and threat-of-audit letters have significant effectson self-reported income, but no effect on third-party reported income. All these empirical results can be explained by extending the standard model of (rational) tax evasion to allow for the key distinction between self-reported and third-party reportedincome.
，另一半研究对象则无任何特殊处理；选取样本的次年，全部研究对象都将会收到一封由税务部门寄出的警示邮件 。通过对这一实验的分析 ，本文主要得到了三个结论：首先